Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:02:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb93c…7385
other · 24 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$60 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$481 · open +$421
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,265
Realized−$481
Unrealized+$421
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses5 / 8
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions9
Markets (closed)13 / 24
History coverage9d
Avg bet$157
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 9 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$481
7 days−$481
14 days−$481
30 days−$481
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 53¢ 82¢ $784 $1,195 +$411 (+52%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $200 $199 −$1 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $200 $198 −$2 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $200 $198 −$2 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $200 $198 −$2 (-1%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $100 $114 +$14 (+14%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $203 −$203 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $203 −$203 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $307 −$300 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $26 +$69 +269%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $153 −$153 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $256 +$209 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$52 +50%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $203 +$189 +93%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 +$42 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% −$374
sports 35% +$295
crypto 6% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 20¢ $102 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $203 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $202 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $203 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $201 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $203 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $203 16h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $205 20h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $102 20h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND W BUY 8¢ $51 26h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $400 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 25¢ $102 29h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 8¢ $65 29h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $51 29h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 29h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 9¢ $51 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $154 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 29h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 60¢ $101 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $392 35h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $143 35h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $103 35h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $103 35h
Korea Republic leading at halftime? BUY Yes 29¢ $51 36h
Korea Republic leading at halftime? BUY Yes 29¢ $102 36h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $203 37h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- BUY 27¢ $26 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -20.3% -27.9% 38% 38% -34.7%
≤30d 13 -20.3% -27.9% 38% 38% -34.7%
≤90d 13 -20.3% -27.9% 38% 38% -34.7%
all 13 -20.3% -27.9% 38% 38% -34.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.9% 38% -34.7%
10% -34.8% 38% -41.0%
15% -41.1% 38% -46.7%
20% -46.9% 31% -51.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,265.11 · official $2,415.17 · 44 history records