Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:10:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb929…5cb5
crypto · 468 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$299 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$299 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$299
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses201 / 267
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)468 / 468
History coverage15d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day79.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 468 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$366
14 days−$355
30 days−$299
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 41¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 25¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 43¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 29¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 58¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 84¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 50¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 38¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 17¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 46¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 57¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 31¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 34¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 54¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 56¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 47¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 30¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$12 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$21 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$8 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$15 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $62 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$5 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$47 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$304
sports 1% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $16 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $6 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 214 -41.2% -46.8% 33% 28% -32.8%
≤30d 468 -18.0% -25.8% 43% 35% -20.0%
≤90d 468 -18.0% -25.8% 43% 35% -20.0%
all 468 -18.0% -25.8% 43% 35% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.8% 35% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -32.9% 26% -27.7%
15% -39.4% 19% -34.7%
20% -45.3% 14% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1378 history records