Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:43:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B9 0xb923…66c7 crypto 665 markets active 2d ago coverage 60d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 60d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$802 (-1%) realized −$802 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate86%573W / 92L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$112per market
Trades / day54.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$536
14 days−$638
30 days−$516
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,115
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -4.7% -13.8% 89% 12% -12.8%
≤30d 448 -3.7% -12.9% 90% 12% -10.3%
≤90d 665 -5.5% -14.5% 86% 12% -10.9%
all 665 -5.5% -14.5% 86% 12% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 12% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 3% -19.4%
15% -30.1% 2% -27.2%
20% -37.0% 1% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -6% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$40 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.7 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$802
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses573 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)665 / 665
History coverage60d ⚠
Avg bet$112
Trades / day54.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 665 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $52 −$51 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $53 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $83 −$82 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $186 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $95 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $154 +$11 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $87 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $92 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $89 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $95 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $76 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $66 +$12 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $60 +$7 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $58 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $58 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $57 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $66 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $57 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $48 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $53 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $57 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $39 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $270 −$188 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$11 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $194 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$42 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $93 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $196 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $94 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $92 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $84 −$83 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $182 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $187 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $286 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $187 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $83 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $52 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $15 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $17 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $53 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $83 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $95 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $6 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $8 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $6 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $23 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $3 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $37 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $92 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $61 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $25 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records