Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T19:27:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
B9 0xb922…1623 crypto 24 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$3 (+1%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%24W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day24.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 24 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 24 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
all 24 +1.3% -8.3% 100% 0% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 0% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 0% -17.1%
15% -25.1% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses24 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)24 / 24
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 24 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 48 history records