Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb915…8da5
sports · 113 markets active 13h ago
0.0score
+$13,067 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,217 · open +$3,850
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 4 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,038
7 days−$105,552
14 days−$247,621
30 days−$280,265
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 63¢ 64¢ $99,812 $101,586 +$1,773 (+2%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 49¢ 51¢ $49,941 $52,020 +$2,079 (+4%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 27¢ 29¢ $18 $20 +$2 (+10%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 23¢ 19¢ $23 $19 −$4 (-16%)
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Atlanta Dream 55¢ $2,210 $0 −$2,210 (-100%)
Spread: Clippers (-4.5) Clippers 54¢ $13,442 $0 −$13,442 (-100%)
76ers vs. Hornets Hornets 68¢ $62,511 $0 −$62,511 (-100%)
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Washington Mystics 21¢ $7,615 $0 −$7,615 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5 Under 51¢ $5,377 $0 −$5,377 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 58¢ $116,309 $0 −$116,309 (-100%)
Magic vs. Spurs Magic 35¢ $13,162 $0 −$13,162 (-100%)
Spread: Hornets (-9.5) Hornets 55¢ $7,647 $0 −$7,647 (-100%)
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5) Toronto Tempo 53¢ $14,587 $0 −$14,587 (-100%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Golden State Valkyries 39¢ $4,651 $0 −$4,651 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Knicks Celtics 33¢ $1,788 $0 −$1,788 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Heat Heat 64¢ $18,677 $0 −$18,677 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ $102,400 $0 −$102,400 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Atlanta Dream 51¢ $7,983 $0 −$7,983 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Lakers Clippers 34¢ $7,243 $0 −$7,243 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Celtics 51¢ $510 $0 −$510 (-100%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) Las Vegas Aces 53¢ $12,417 $0 −$12,417 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Nuggets Rockets 48¢ $28,800 $0 −$28,800 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 51¢ $11,117 $0 −$11,117 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5) Washington Mystics 53¢ $811 $0 −$811 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) Raptors 50¢ $5,932 $0 −$5,932 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Clippers (-4.5) Jun 12 $13,442 −$13,442 -100%
Celtics vs. Knicks Jun 12 $1,788 −$1,788 -100%
Clippers vs. Lakers Jun 12 $7,243 −$7,244 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 12 $510 −$510 -100%
Rockets vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $28,800 −$28,800 -100%
Raptors vs. Lakers Jun 12 $858 −$858 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5 Jun 12 $4,148 −$4,148 -100%
Clippers vs. Knicks Jun 12 $7,313 −$7,313 -100%
Bucks vs. Knicks Jun 12 $14,350 −$14,350 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$5 +83%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5) Jun 11 $53 +$47 +89%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $54 +$46 +86%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 Jun 11 $23,690 +$18,809 +79%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $33,287 +$28,645 +86%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 11 $51,764 +$37,939 +73%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5) Jun 06 $823 −$811 -99%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 06 $7,796 −$7,615 -98%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 06 $22,060 −$21,682 -98%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $117,774 −$116,309 -99%
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5) Jun 05 $515 −$508 -98%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP? Jun 05 $295 +$391 +133%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 05 $768 +$661 +86%
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5 Jun 05 $1,075 +$925 +86%
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5 Jun 05 $3,048 +$3,040 +100%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky Jun 05 $12,452 +$6,618 +53%
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5 Jun 05 $9,369 +$10,567 +113%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings Jun 05 $38,184 +$12,135 +32%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 04 $4,736 −$4,651 -98%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 04 $225 −$224 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $12,565 −$12,425 -99%
Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5) Jun 03 $6,938 −$6,844 -99%
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5) Jun 03 $14,791 −$14,587 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 02 $103,506 −$102,400 -99%
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5) May 29 $953 −$939 -99%
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery May 29 $991 +$304 +31%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) May 29 $1,059 +$949 +90%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 164.5 May 29 $4,905 +$3,895 +79%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5) May 29 $22,846 +$24,875 +109%
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm May 29 $31,837 +$22,013 +69%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) May 28 $12,592 −$12,417 -99%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) May 27 $8,100 −$7,983 -99%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx May 27 $2,240 −$2,210 -99%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5) May 27 $8,084 −$7,960 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 26 $96,114 +$43,886 +46%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) May 25 $36,777 −$36,295 -99%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) May 25 $10,786 −$10,636 -99%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) May 25 $12,162 −$11,972 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5 May 18 $23,883 −$23,558 -99%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings May 14 $15,712 −$15,534 -99%
Connecticut Sun vs. New York Liberty May 07 $203 −$198 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$91,129
other 0% +$391
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $5 12h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $958 12h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $7 12h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $21 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $3 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $3 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $5 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $47 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $2 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $5 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $7,460 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $831 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $4,789 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $4 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $96 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $683 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $2 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $41 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $128 13h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $23 14h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $9 14h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $38 14h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $4 14h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $74 14h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $915 14h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $280 14h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $334 15h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $82 15h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $48 15h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 49¢ $29 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -11.2% -19.6% 48% 48% -33.4%
≤30d 49 -30.2% -36.8% 39% 39% -40.2%
≤90d 92 +5.4% -4.6% 55% 55% -4.2%
all 118 +0.6% -9.0% 53% 53% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 53% -9.2%
10% -17.7% 52% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -25.7% 46% -25.8%
20% -33.0% 41% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $153,644.63 · official $153,644.63 (match) · 3500 history records