Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb911…d6d0
sports · 547 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,144 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,123 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$27
Realized−$2,123
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses260 / 285
Est. fees paid−$156
Open positions2
Markets (closed)545 / 547
History coverage58d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 2 History 545 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$115
7 days+$109
14 days−$552
30 days−$665
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage RUSTEC 73¢ 67¢ $29 $27 −$2 (-8%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 22¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $10 +$7 +71%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $50 +$18 +36%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $30 +$33 +107%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $10 +$17 +166%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 +$19 +206%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 −$17 -57%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $20 +$8 +40%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $10 −$5 -51%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $10 +$6 +63%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $10 +$6 +58%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $50 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $20 +$8 +38%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $97 +$76 +79%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$44 +171%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $55 +$8 +14%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Jun 12 $10 −$2 -19%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$32 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$3 +280%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 +$17 +57%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $122 +$26 +21%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $109 +$13 +12%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $30 −$24 -80%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 10 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $15 +$12 +82%
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Jun 09 $15 +$11 +70%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $20 −$2 -9%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 −$5 -26%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $129 +$44 +34%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? Jun 08 $21 −$21 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$1,275
crypto 29% −$683
other 6% −$199
weather 0% +$17
economics 0% −$4
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova SELL Hannah Klugman 99¢ $17 1m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $68 10m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 57¢ $10 31m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 73¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 79¢ $9 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 17¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 71¢ $20 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 29¢ $10 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 53¢ $10 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $63 11h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? SELL No 81¢ $28 11h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $9 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $13 17h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 29¢ $10 18h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Ursa 80¢ $5 18h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Ursa 65¢ $6 18h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $30 19h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur SELL Felix Balshaw 99¢ $28 19h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 60¢ $10 19h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 66¢ $10 20h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 30¢ $5 20h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Felix Balshaw 75¢ $10 20h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez SELL Johan Alexander Rodriguez 99¢ $16 20h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 59¢ $10 20h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 60¢ $10 20h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris SELL Dane Sweeny 99¢ $16 20h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 62¢ $10 21h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Harmony Tan 99¢ $59 21h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 84¢ $50 21h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo SELL Celine Naef 94¢ $23 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -3.9% -13.0% 47% 46% -4.2%
≤30d 242 -8.5% -17.2% 41% 39% -18.8%
≤90d 545 -8.5% -17.2% 48% 43% -21.3%
all 545 -8.5% -17.2% 48% 43% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.2% 43% -21.3%
10% -25.1% 37% -28.9%
15% -32.4% 29% -35.7%
20% -39.0% 21% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.64 · official $26.64 (match) · 1383 history records