Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:50:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B9 0xb90d…7364 crypto 142 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3333 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$311 (+5%) realized +$305 · open +$6
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +20% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -7% what you keep after slip
Net edge-7%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate61%76W / 48L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day3333.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$119now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$106
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3333 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 +20.2% +8.8% 61% 27% -6.7%
≤30d 124 +20.2% +8.8% 61% 27% -6.7%
≤90d 124 +20.2% +8.8% 61% 27% -6.7%
all 124 +20.2% +8.8% 61% 27% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3333.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.8% 27% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -1.6% 26% -15.6%
15% -11.1% 19% -23.8%
20% -19.9% 15% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 33% · top 2 49% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
55% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +20% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late +55% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
14.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$11 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.18 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$119
Realized+$305
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses76 / 48
Open positions18
Markets (closed)124 / 142
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day3333.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 18 History 124 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $23 $25 +$2 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 93¢ 100¢ $16 $18 +$1 (+8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 84¢ 84¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 9 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $63 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$5 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $28 +$3 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $99 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $300 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $253 −$45 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $28 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $302 +$218 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $91 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $86 +$5 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $70 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $65 +$4 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $77 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $63 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $155 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $107 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$4 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $45 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $112 +$4 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $33 +$9 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$4 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$3 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$5 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $137 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$2 -11%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $51 −$36 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $55 −$28 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $130 −$60 -46%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $118.52 · official $111.25 · 3500 history records