Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T02:27:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
B9 0xb903…a9eb crypto 504 markets active 1h ago coverage 87d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$661 (-10%) realized −$661 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -36% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -47% what you keep after slip
Net edge-47%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate30%149W / 355L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day19.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$169
7 days−$181
14 days−$196
30 days−$431
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$1,051
finance 2% −$27
world 0% −$24
other 0% −$8
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-42.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -42.0% -47.5% 32% 30% -25.5%
≤30d 268 -32.8% -39.2% 32% 30% -26.3%
≤90d 504 -36.2% -42.2% 30% 28% -30.4%
all 504 -36.2% -42.2% 30% 28% -30.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.2% 28% -30.4%
10% -47.8% 25% -37.1%
15% -52.8% 23% -43.1%
20% -57.4% 18% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -24% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -36% · $-wt -24% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -37% → late -35% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$7 · ×1.32 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

87d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$661
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses149 / 355
Open positions0
Markets (closed)504 / 504
History coverage87d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 504 Trades
no open positions (276 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 25 $22 −$21 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $44 −$21 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $44 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $87 −$11 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $81 −$20 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 25 $74 −$5 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $44 −$22 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 25 $142 +$29 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $65 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 25 $132 −$37 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $87 −$10 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 25 $193 −$22 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 25 $67 −$63 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 25 $108 +$67 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $53 −$6 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 25 $79 +$29 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $83 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 24 $139 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 24 $34 −$11 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 24 $26 −$15 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 24 $44 +$11 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 23 $16 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$15 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 23 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 23 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 23 $17 −$6 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $15 −$10 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 20 $7 −$5 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $11 +$7 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1842 history records