Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:56:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B9
0xb902…10c0
sports · 369 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$184 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$400 · open −$239
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,171
Realized−$400
Unrealized−$239
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses150 / 152
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions67
Markets (closed)302 / 369
History coverage87d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 67 History 302 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$205
7 days−$137
14 days−$70
30 days−$206
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 70¢ 100¢ $56 $80 +$24 (+42%)
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 26¢ 36¢ $52 $73 +$21 (+40%)
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 65¢ 100¢ $45 $69 +$24 (+54%)
Will Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 34¢ 64¢ $34 $63 +$29 (+87%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $54 $55 +$1 (+2%)
Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 41¢ 54¢ $41 $54 +$12 (+30%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 49¢ 48¢ $49 $48 −$0 (-1%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 25¢ 23¢ $50 $47 −$3 (-5%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 56¢ 44¢ $50 $40 −$10 (-21%)
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No 63¢ 96¢ $25 $39 +$13 (+53%)
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 40¢ 47¢ $32 $38 +$6 (+17%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 43¢ 24¢ $50 $27 −$23 (-45%)
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $27 $26 −$2 (-6%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $24 +$5 (+23%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $57 $22 −$34 (-61%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 67¢ 99¢ $13 $20 +$6 (+48%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 67¢ 98¢ $13 $20 +$6 (+46%)
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 29¢ 20¢ $29 $20 −$9 (-33%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No 34¢ 65¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+92%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-3%)
Ebola case in the US by June 30? Yes 12¢ 16¢ $12 $16 +$4 (+33%)
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao 36¢ 38¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 17¢ 14¢ $17 $14 −$3 (-17%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-30%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 34¢ 27¢ $17 $13 −$4 (-21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $86 −$77 -89%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 14 $47 +$1 +3%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $53 −$3 -5%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $34 +$16 +47%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $24 +$76 +317%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Ques Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions ev Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $61 +$14 +23%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $58 −$38 -65%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $48 +$52 +108%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $56 +$42 +75%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $22 +$28 +122%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Jun 08 $9 −$3 -36%
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3? Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 08 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May? Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Priscilla Hon Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Jun 08 $11 +$5 +44%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 07 $13 +$7 +59%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $25 +$11 +43%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $24 +$22 +96%
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the Jun 04 $10 +$2 +19%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 04 $10 +$60 +567%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 01 $17 −$17 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 01 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Trump say "Iran" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting? Jun 01 $20 −$20 -100%
Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? Jun 01 $6 −$6 -100%
Vicenza: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Samuele Pieri Jun 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs Jun 01 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Wichita: Jaeda Daniel vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova Jun 01 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during C Jun 01 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 01 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 31 $24 +$6 +27%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $57 +$93 +163%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $17 +$22 +129%
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meetin May 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Trump say "Ebola" or "COVID" during Cabinet meeting? May 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31? May 26 $25 +$25 +100%
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15? May 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 26 $11 −$11 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A May 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? May 26 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$337
other 15% −$156
politics 8% −$81
crypto 6% −$37
tech 3% +$63
world 3% −$49
weather 1% −$40
culture 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 2¢ $9 1h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 49¢ $48 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 51¢ $50 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 53¢ $53 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $57 2h
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 27¢ $28 4h
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 27¢ $26 4h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $47 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $64 6h
Will Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 34¢ $31 9h
Will Granit Xhaka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 34¢ $3 9h
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu BUY No 29¢ $29 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $58 10h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 24¢ $24 12h
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 13h
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 26¢ $51 13h
Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 41¢ $41 13h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 68¢ $34 16h
Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 7¢ $7 30h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $31 30h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes 21¢ $20 33h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $20 34h
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 34h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 35h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 58¢ $12 35h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 58¢ $17 35h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 58¢ $28 35h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 81¢ $30 36h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 80¢ $31 36h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $28 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -26.8% -33.8% 35% 31% -25.4%
≤30d 75 -17.0% -24.9% 28% 25% -21.9%
≤90d 302 -8.8% -17.5% 50% 47% -17.5%
all 302 -8.8% -17.5% 50% 47% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.5% 47% -17.5%
10% -25.4% 43% -25.4%
15% -32.6% 31% -32.6%
20% -39.2% 19% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,171.14 · official $1,172.65 (match) · 976 history records