Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:56:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8fc…ddce
sports · 12 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$118 -52%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$118 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$118
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses2 / 8
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)10 / 12
History coverage7d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$85
14 days−$118
30 days−$118
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 11¢ 7¢ $11 $7 −$4 (-37%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-50%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 16¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Team WE 7¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 13¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner EDward Gaming 13¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Team WE 7¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 $0 -3%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$9 +257%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $29 −$28 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $28 −$27 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $50 +$16 +31%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $34 −$33 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$118
crypto 2% −$5
world 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 2¢ $1 9m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 20¢ $10 28m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Top Esports 5¢ $10 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 5¢ $10 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 16¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 3h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 88¢ $13 18h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 24¢ $4 18h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 6¢ $5 19h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 32¢ $10 19h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 7¢ $9 21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 20¢ $20 21h
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 3¢ $3 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 3¢ $2 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 8¢ $5 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 7¢ $10 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 32¢ $10 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 1¢ $1 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 1¢ $1 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 94¢ $66 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 5¢ $10 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 31¢ $15 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 3¢ $3 7d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 30¢ $31 7d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 71¢ $50 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-47.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -35.0% -41.2% 22% 22% -53.8%
≤30d 10 -41.5% -47.0% 20% 20% -61.2%
≤90d 10 -41.5% -47.0% 20% 20% -61.2%
all 10 -41.5% -47.0% 20% 20% -61.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -47.0% 20% -61.2%
10% -52.1% 20% -64.9%
15% -56.7% 10% -68.3%
20% -61.0% 10% -71.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.28 · official $36.50 · 27 history records