Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:37:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8df…8a93
other · 153 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$67 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$116 · open −$49
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized+$116
Unrealized−$49
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses22 / 126
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$107
Open positions5
Markets (closed)148 / 153
History coverage67d
Avg bet$96
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 5 History 148 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$216
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 15¢ 8¢ $24 $13 −$11 (-46%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $15 $7 −$7 (-50%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Yes 11¢ 3¢ $14 $4 −$10 (-74%)
Morocco leading at halftime? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Brazil leading at halftime? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) Fenerbahçe SK 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 RBC Heritage? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Pacers Pacers 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Rory McIlroy finish as leader after Round 1? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will JD Vance say "Rigged" during meetings with Orbán? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 27¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs Evil Geniuses Academy 58¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will JD Vance say "Venezuela" during meetings with Orbán? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season Winthrop University 1¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-04-17? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5 Under 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One - Map 2 Winner Division One 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer No 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $251 +$195 +78%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $55 −$39 -72%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $51 +$109 +214%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC? May 30 $19 −$19 -98%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 30 $19 −$19 -98%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 07 $76 +$7 +9%
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026? May 07 $31 −$28 -89%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? May 07 $31 −$21 -69%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 07 $31 −$10 -32%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? May 07 $28 −$10 -35%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 07 $30 −$7 -23%
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma May 07 $40 −$12 -30%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? May 07 $48 −$6 -12%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 07 $165 −$3 -2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 07 $61 $0 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 07 $205 −$9 -4%
Counter-Strike: 9daplug vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playo May 06 $67 −$65 -97%
LoL: Conviction vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers Leag May 06 $51 −$50 -97%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B May 06 $51 −$50 -97%
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? May 06 $118 +$309 +262%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score May 06 $204 +$362 +177%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 May 06 $195 −$191 -98%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC? May 06 $31 −$30 -97%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $153 −$150 -98%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners May 06 $72 −$70 -98%
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? May 06 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 7 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? May 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? May 06 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid? May 05 $13 −$13 -98%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) May 05 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Club Atlético de Madrid? May 05 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid? May 05 $26 −$25 -98%
Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Gr May 05 $30 +$33 +109%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q May 05 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challenge May 05 $59 −$58 -98%
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe Academy vs L Guide Gaming (BO3) - LJL Regular May 05 $1 −$1 -97%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A May 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 04 $25 −$3 -11%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 04 $52 −$4 -8%
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playo May 04 $20 +$71 +348%
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05? May 04 $51 +$128 +249%
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One - Map 2 Winner May 04 $10 −$10 -98%
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North Amer May 04 $101 −$100 -99%
Sporting CP vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5 May 04 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $5 −$5 -97%
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30? Apr 30 $29 −$28 -98%
Aston Villa FC leading at halftime? Apr 30 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 30 $51 −$50 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% +$1,533
sports 41% −$1,425
world 3% −$43
finance 3% −$35
politics 1% +$59
economics 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $25 48m
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $14 48m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $15 48m
Morocco leading at halftime? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 49m
Brazil leading at halftime? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 49m
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 99¢ $445 14d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 55¢ $251 14d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 87¢ $160 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 8¢ $14 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? SELL Yes 7¢ $14 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 14¢ $19 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 16¢ $19 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $51 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 15¢ $31 14d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 2¢ $5 37d
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $3 37d
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $10 37d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? SELL Yes 8¢ $21 37d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 37d
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? SELL Yes 11¢ $23 37d
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma SELL Yes 5¢ $28 37d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? SELL Yes 5¢ $42 37d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 27¢ $54 37d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? SELL Yes 17¢ $61 37d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? SELL Yes 42¢ $195 37d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 13¢ $3 37d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 13¢ $8 37d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 12¢ $9 37d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-36.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 6 -18.1% -25.9% 33% 33% +46.8%
≤90d 148 -30.3% -36.9% 15% 13% -9.2%
all 148 -30.3% -36.9% 15% 13% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.9% 13% -9.2%
10% -42.9% 12% -17.9%
15% -48.5% 12% -25.8%
20% -53.5% 11% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.06 · official $28.15 · 303 history records