Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:56:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8d1…c3b1
crypto · 1691 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$278 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$278 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$278
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1296 / 411
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1707 / 1691
History coverage29d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day61.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1707 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$216
14 days−$254
30 days−$278
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$171
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +74%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 554 -4.2% -13.3% 73% 73% -12.9%
≤30d 1707 -0.8% -10.2% 76% 74% -10.7%
≤90d 1707 -0.8% -10.2% 76% 74% -10.7%
all 1707 -0.8% -10.2% 76% 74% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 74% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 45% -19.3%
15% -26.7% 24% -27.1%
20% -33.9% 10% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records