Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:19:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8cd…694f
crypto · 1307 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,165 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,163 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$1,163
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses831 / 475
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1306 / 1307
History coverage119d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day26.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1306 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$165
7 days+$919
14 days+$550
30 days−$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Up 33¢ 30¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $163 −$163 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$120 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $124 −$118 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$69 +328%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$74 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $280 −$80 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $178 −$170 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$7 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $354 +$506 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $155 +$32 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $185 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $126 +$24 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $544 +$95 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $73 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $84 −$80 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $84 −$80 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $193 −$183 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $33 +$16 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $31 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $72 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $178 −$168 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Jun 10 $384 +$220 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $293 −$278 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2AM ET Jun 10 $353 +$523 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $95 +$225 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11AM ET Jun 09 $298 +$56 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10AM ET Jun 09 $186 +$62 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $83 +$94 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6AM ET Jun 09 $227 −$30 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET Jun 09 $50 +$55 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $63 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$23 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $210 +$230 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $148 −$38 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $375 +$693 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $159 −$151 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$2 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,162
other 0% −$2
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
world 0% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $21 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $11 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $10 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -5.2% -14.2% 58% 29% +0.3%
≤30d 425 -7.3% -16.1% 60% 29% -10.1%
≤90d 1266 -7.4% -16.3% 64% 23% -11.1%
all 1306 -5.2% -14.3% 64% 24% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 24% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 13% -19.6%
15% -30.0% 8% -27.3%
20% -36.8% 5% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.48 · official $18.48 (match) · 3372 history records