Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:39:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8ca…f380
sports · 1298 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$149 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$149 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses619 / 665
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1284 / 1298
History coverage26d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day113.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 14 History 1284 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$3
14 days−$12
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 68¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Spurs 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 Under 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Qatar 86¢ 86¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 81¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 65¢ 64¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 82¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Canada 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 -2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Curaçao leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 $0 -2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -40%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $1 −$1 -52%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -47%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $1 −$1 -62%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $1 $0 +30%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 -33%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 -16%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 -5%
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$75
other 20% −$40
crypto 4% −$25
weather 2% −$3
politics 0% −$5
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 65¢ $1 39m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 SELL Under 98¢ $1 39m
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL Paraguay 9¢ $0 48m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 82¢ $1 1h
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) SELL Ecuador 91¢ $1 1h
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) BUY Ecuador 92¢ $1 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 58¢ $1 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL Paraguay 6¢ $0 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL Paraguay 20¢ $0 1h
Curaçao leading at halftime? SELL No 96¢ $1 1h
Curaçao leading at halftime? BUY No 96¢ $1 1h
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) BUY Spurs 94¢ $1 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $1 2h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL No 80¢ $0 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 80¢ $1 3h
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY Japan 75¢ $1 4h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? SELL No 96¢ $1 4h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY No 96¢ $1 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 66¢ $1 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 76¢ $1 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 95¢ $1 6h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 82¢ $1 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 SELL Under 95¢ $1 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 BUY Under 91¢ $1 7h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) SELL Canada 86¢ $0 7h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) BUY Qatar 86¢ $1 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Under 96¢ $1 7h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina 89¢ $0 8h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris SELL Billy Harris 22¢ $0 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -2.2% -11.5% 61% 47% -10.9%
≤30d 1284 -5.1% -14.1% 48% 39% -14.6%
≤90d 1284 -5.1% -14.1% 48% 39% -14.6%
all 1284 -5.1% -14.1% 48% 39% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover113.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 39% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 28% -22.8%
15% -29.9% 19% -30.2%
20% -36.7% 12% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.59 · official $10.90 · 3500 history records