Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T06:22:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb8bf…3254 crypto 115 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$353 (+21%) realized +$353 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -35% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -46% what you keep after slip
Net edge-46%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate17%19W / 96L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day10.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$418
7 days−$418
14 days−$154
30 days−$170
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$165
other 1% −$4
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-40.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -14.3% -22.4% 35% 35% -58.3%
≤30d 115 -34.7% -40.9% 17% 17% -18.8%
≤90d 115 -34.7% -40.9% 17% 17% -18.8%
all 115 -34.7% -40.9% 17% 17% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -40.9% 17% -18.8%
10% -46.6% 14% -26.6%
15% -51.8% 14% -33.7%
20% -56.5% 14% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 44% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -35% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -58% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$53 vs −$12 · ×4.32 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$353
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses19 / 96
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)115 / 115
History coverage15d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 115 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 27 $6 +$6 +94%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $16 −$15 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $5 +$17 +326%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 27 $3 −$1 -28%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 27 $3 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $190 −$182 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $84 −$84 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 27 $78 +$98 +125%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 27 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 27 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$15 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 27 $181 −$181 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $16 +$14 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 26 $35 +$52 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$2 +228%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $105 +$190 +181%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $16 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $22 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 34m
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 36m
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 21¢ $3 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $91 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $99 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $24 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $21 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $26 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $176 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $78 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $84 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $42 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $19 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $56 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 271 history records