trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -4.7% | -13.7% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $209 | $209 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $199 | $199 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $189 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 21 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 02 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Feb 02 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 27 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 27 | $302 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 20 | $849 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 20 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 19 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 19 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 16 | $334 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 16 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 16 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Jan 16 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 15 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 14 | $499 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m | Jan 13 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 13 | $386 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jan 12 | $499 | −$1 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Jan 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 09 | $500 | −$1 | -0% |