Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:07:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb8b7…30ec crypto 70 markets active 5d ago coverage 3d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$10 (-12%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate74%52W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day44.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -5.1% -14.1% 79% 13% -14.1%
≤30d 70 -13.2% -21.5% 74% 13% -21.5%
≤90d 70 -13.2% -21.5% 74% 13% -21.5%
all 70 -13.2% -21.5% 74% 13% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.5% 13% -21.5%
10% ← realistic here -29.0% 3% -29.0%
15% -35.8% 0% -35.9%
20% -42.1% 0% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
81% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -22% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses52 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)70 / 70
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day44.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 70 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 140 history records