Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:06:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8af…0550
crypto · 320 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,261 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,223 · open −$38
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$324
Realized−$7,223
Unrealized−$38
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses100 / 189
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions9
Markets (closed)289 / 320
History coverage36d
Avg bet$169
Trades / day25.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 9 History 289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,424
7 days−$5,052
14 days−$6,565
30 days−$6,668
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 57¢ 56¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $100 $93 −$7 (-7%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $53 $51 −$2 (-4%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-25%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 7.5 Corners Over 38¢ 27¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-29%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Over 22¢ 18¢ $9 $8 −$2 (-20%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 34¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Over 16¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$23 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$35 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$73 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$92 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$16 +101%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30? Jun 13 $95 −$81 -85%
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 Jun 13 $20 −$16 -80%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United Jun 13 $15 +$80 +520%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $51 −$50 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $153 +$306 +199%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$28 +69%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $133 −$130 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$45 +186%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30? Jun 12 $93 −$38 -41%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $618 −$566 -92%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Jun 12 $52 −$50 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Jun 12 $191 −$184 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 12 $125 −$120 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $104 +$104 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $63 −$60 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Jun 10 $77 −$74 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 10 $182 −$175 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 10 $363 −$350 -96%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 10 $930 −$900 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $135 +$57 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $73 +$81 +112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$2,935
tech 10% −$3,235
sports 2% −$170
other 1% −$248
finance 1% −$404
politics 1% −$210
world 0% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $21 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 57¢ $101 1h
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 1h
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 1h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $51 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY 3¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 12.5 Total Corners BUY Over 22¢ $10 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 7.5 Corners BUY Over 38¢ $20 5h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $8 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 5h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $51 5h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06 BUY 1¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $21 6h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 7¢ $26 6h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? AND Will Sweden win on 2026- BUY 4¢ $26 6h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06 BUY 3¢ $26 6h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND W BUY 3¢ $26 6h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end BUY 4¢ $26 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 24¢ $51 6h
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $10 6h
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $21 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -20.1% -27.7% 29% 29% -42.8%
≤30d 277 -18.4% -26.2% 35% 35% -21.3%
≤90d 289 -20.3% -27.9% 35% 34% -22.1%
all 289 -20.3% -27.9% 35% 34% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.9% 34% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -34.8% 33% -29.5%
15% -41.1% 30% -36.3%
20% -46.9% 25% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $324.43 · official $760.33 · 1034 history records