Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:10:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb8ac…2995
crypto · 553 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,365 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,365 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,365
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses340 / 712
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1052 / 553
History coverage8d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day351.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1052 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,921
7 days−$2,011
14 days−$2,365
30 days−$2,365
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$3 -1556%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$4 -134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$7 -1666%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +686%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$13 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$449
world 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $26 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-42.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 701 -60.7% -64.4% 19% 15% -56.0%
≤30d 1052 -36.6% -42.7% 32% 25% -26.9%
≤90d 1052 -36.6% -42.7% 32% 25% -26.9%
all 1052 -36.6% -42.7% 32% 25% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover351.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.7% 25% -26.9%
10% ← realistic here -48.2% 19% -33.9%
15% -53.2% 12% -40.3%
20% -57.8% 6% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records