Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T23:47:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb89d…1d4f crypto 101 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (477 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$5,656 (+8%) realized +$5,656 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate37%37W / 64L
Whale WR42%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$694per market
Trades / day477.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$852
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (477 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 +2.7% -7.1% 37% 37% -10.6%
≤30d 101 +1.8% -7.9% 37% 37% -10.6%
≤90d 101 +1.8% -7.9% 37% 37% -10.6%
all 101 +1.8% -7.9% 37% 37% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover477.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 37% -10.6%
10% -16.7% 37% -19.2%
15% ← realistic here -24.8% 36% -27.0%
20% -32.1% 34% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 42% (≥$780) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -7% → late +11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
32.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,062 vs −$627 · ×1.69 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,656
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses37 / 64
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)101 / 101
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$694
Trades / day477.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 101 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 20 $413 −$413 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $154 +$462 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $347 −$322 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 20 $279 +$650 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 20 $131 −$122 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $2,651 +$3,053 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 20 $347 +$408 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $254 +$75 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $654 −$654 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $822 +$1,043 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $318 −$288 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 20 $1,717 +$5,972 +348%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $3,176 −$3,176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $546 +$782 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 20 $1,332 −$1,332 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $780 −$780 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 20 $397 +$908 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $275 +$334 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 20 $545 +$1,315 +242%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 20 $389 +$519 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $1,468 −$1,468 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $2,355 +$3,806 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $1,441 −$1,441 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 20 $754 +$1,608 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $408 +$472 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $434 −$434 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $903 −$903 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $904 −$904 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $663 −$663 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $706 −$706 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $341 −$341 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $145 +$547 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 20 $198 +$296 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $222 −$222 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 20 $48 −$43 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 20 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 20 $22 +$11 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 19 $434 −$434 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 19 $301 −$40 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $106 +$454 +426%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $670 −$670 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $14 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $15 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $7 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $13 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records