trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 73¢ | $55 | $59 | +$4 (+8%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Down | 49¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Up | 56¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Down | 78¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 13 | $11 | −$3 | -28% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $33 | −$7 | -20% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $46 | +$2 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $63 | −$15 | -23% |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 05 | $15 | +$6 | +39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Jun 03 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | +$1 | +16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | +$4 | +87% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | +$1 | +29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | +$2 | +43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | +$5 | +105% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | May 27 | $5 | +$3 | +65% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | May 27 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 25% | 0% | -23.0% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +6.9% | -3.2% | 65% | 59% | -13.0% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +6.9% | -3.2% | 65% | 59% | -13.0% |
| all | 17 | +6.9% | -3.2% | 65% | 59% | -13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.2% | 59% | -13.0% |
| 10% | -12.5% | 41% | -21.3% |
| 15% | -21.0% | 35% | -28.9% |
| 20% | -28.7% | 24% | -35.9% |