Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:46:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb897…c669 crypto 852 markets active 3d ago coverage 16d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 16d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (159 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$16,732 (-22%) realized −$16,732 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate54%458W / 393L
Whale WR59%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$91per market
Trades / day159.1pace
Fees−$91est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 16d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$2,126
sports 7% −$1,257
other 2% −$719
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (159 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -20.6% -28.2% 54% 34% -18.1%
≤30d 851 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 45% -14.3%
≤90d 851 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 45% -14.3%
all 851 -8.1% -16.9% 54% 45% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover159.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 45% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 39% -22.5%
15% -32.1% 34% -30.0%
20% -38.8% 30% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 59% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$55 vs −$75 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$16,732
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses458 / 393
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$91
Open positions0
Markets (closed)851 / 852
History coverage16d ⚠
Avg bet$91
Trades / day159.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 851 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$12 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$13 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $237 −$48 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $207 −$207 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$8 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $500 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $510 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$82 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $76 +$24 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $535 +$16 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $609 +$31 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $11 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $17 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $12 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $17 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $200.00 · 3500 history records