trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +16.2% | +5.1% | 33% | 33% | -29.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +32.2% | +19.6% | 45% | 45% | -6.8% |
| ≤90d | 57 | +17.0% | +5.9% | 42% | 42% | +15.9% |
| all | 57 | +17.0% | +5.9% | 42% | 42% | +15.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.9% | 42% | +15.9% |
| 10% | -4.3% | 42% | +4.8% |
| 15% | -13.5% | 42% | -5.3% |
| 20% | -22.0% | 40% | -14.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $78 | $35 | −$43 (-55%) |
| Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $250 | $18 | −$232 (-93%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 79¢ | 64¢ | $11 | $9 | −$2 (-19%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $1,560 | $4 | −$1,556 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $1,462 | +$1,538 | +105% |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 | Jun 22 | $4,064 | −$4,007 | -99% |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | Jun 22 | $1,840 | +$2,160 | +117% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $785 | −$770 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $1,645 | −$1,645 | -100% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $1,899 | −$1,860 | -98% |
| Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedev | Jun 19 | $642 | +$3,358 | +523% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $880 | −$880 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 27 | $1,019 | +$960 | +94% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 27 | $2,337 | +$2,663 | +114% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 22 | $731 | +$709 | +97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 22 | $3,673 | +$1,527 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5 | May 22 | $5,109 | +$5,441 | +106% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 22 | $9,539 | +$9,429 | +99% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | May 21 | $656 | −$645 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 20 | $5,238 | +$4,770 | +91% |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) | May 20 | $997 | −$976 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $1,900 | +$4,328 | +228% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $1,994 | −$1,948 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5 | May 04 | $1,250 | −$1,250 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $1,410 | −$1,387 | -98% |
| 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5) | May 04 | $930 | +$1,070 | +115% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 03 | $924 | −$924 | -100% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | May 03 | $1,750 | −$1,750 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | May 03 | $1,250 | −$1,250 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | May 03 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |
| 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5) | May 03 | $51 | +$48 | +93% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $2,403 | +$3,647 | +152% |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | May 02 | $5,153 | +$5,010 | +97% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 28 | $980 | −$962 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 26 | $2,940 | −$2,904 | -99% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Apr 26 | $1,020 | −$1,020 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Pre | Apr 26 | $2,400 | +$2,522 | +105% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $3,757 | −$3,705 | -99% |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) | Apr 25 | $720 | −$709 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $570 | +$1,930 | +339% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 25 | $2,747 | −$2,713 | -99% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5 | Apr 24 | $1,250 | −$1,250 | -100% |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? | Apr 24 | $150 | −$146 | -97% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 23 | $1,220 | −$1,220 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 22 | $1,556 | −$1,530 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5 | Apr 22 | $151 | −$151 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 22 | $990 | +$8,008 | +809% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $3,271 | +$6,438 | +197% |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) | Apr 22 | $735 | +$765 | +104% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 20 | $1,470 | −$1,435 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 20 | $1,554 | +$5,322 | +342% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $1,580 | −$1,580 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline | Apr 20 | $240 | −$235 | -98% |