trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $220 | $218 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $200 | $202 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 70¢ | 70¢ | $200 | $200 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $200 | $199 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $200 | $198 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 36¢ | $100 | $122 | +$22 (+22%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $115 | $114 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $111 | $110 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 74¢ | 74¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 39¢ | 38¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 55¢ | 54¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 44¢ | 44¢ | $60 | $59 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 22¢ | 26¢ | $30 | $36 | +$6 (+20%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 92¢ | 90¢ | $32 | $31 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 15¢ | $23 | $24 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$23 | +112% |
| Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | +$81 | +777% |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $156 in June? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$4 | +38% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$2 | +24% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$2 | -15% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$1 | -4% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$9 | +87% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $21 | +$31 | +153% |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 44% | 38% | +4.1% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 44% | 38% | +4.1% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 44% | 38% | +4.1% |
| all | 16 | +35.1% | +22.2% | 44% | 38% | +4.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +22.2% | 38% | +4.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +10.5% | 38% | -5.8% |
| 15% | -0.2% | 31% | -14.9% |
| 20% | -9.9% | 25% | -23.3% |