Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:56:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb88f…b1b0
other · 263 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$87 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses19 / 244
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)263 / 263
History coverage139d
Avg bet$215
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$18
14 days−$27
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 13 $129 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $306 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $471 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $64 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $247 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $237 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $268 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $235 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $284 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $387 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $285 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $348 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $350 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $140 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $489 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $546 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $216 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $412 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 09 $963 −$2 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $358 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $154 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $463 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $67 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $545 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $172 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $309 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $68 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $283 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $473 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $319 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $736 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $816 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $144 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $327 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 05 $330 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $219 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $458 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $69 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $688 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $242 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $405 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $498 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $813 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $184 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $71 $0 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $72 −$1 -1%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $232 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $509 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $150 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 30 $1,085 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$37
sports 22% −$19
culture 8% −$10
economics 8% −$4
politics 8% −$8
crypto 6% −$5
world 3% −$3
tech 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 99¢ $63 2h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $63 3h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $63 4h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $63 5h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $63 8h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $63 10h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $63 11h
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $64 13h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $57 13h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $6 14h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $64 15h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $64 17h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $64 19h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $64 20h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $64 22h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $64 26h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $64 29h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $64 33h
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $64 35h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $64 43h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $64 45h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $64 46h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $64 2d
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $64 2d
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $65 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $65 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $65 2d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $65 2d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $65 2d
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $65 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 72 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 180 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 263 -0.1% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1437 history records