trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Jun 12 | $83 | +$1,947 | +2339% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 11? | Jun 12 | $1,730 | −$1,730 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $1,022 | −$122 | -12% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Jun 11 | $100 | +$11 | +11% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 07 | $89 | +$60 | +68% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +311.1% | +272.0% | 50% | 50% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +311.1% | +272.0% | 50% | 50% | -13.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +311.1% | +272.0% | 50% | 50% | -13.0% |
| all | 6 | +311.1% | +272.0% | 50% | 50% | -13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +272.0% | 50% | -13.0% |
| 10% | +236.4% | 33% | -21.3% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +203.9% | 33% | -28.9% |
| 20% | +174.1% | 33% | -35.9% |