Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:36:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb880…2b03
crypto · 110 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$199 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$318 · open −$358
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$706
Realized−$318
Unrealized−$358
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses87 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions3
Markets (closed)107 / 110
History coverage362d
Avg bet$301
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 107 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$192
7 days+$192
14 days+$192
30 days+$192
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $700 $704 +$4 (+1%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $264 $1 −$262 (-99%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $100 $1 −$99 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $703 +$40 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $701 +$14 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $606 −$606 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $103 −$17 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $701 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $701 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $205 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $701 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $701 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $702 +$24 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $701 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $701 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $701 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $701 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $702 +$22 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $701 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $501 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $504 +$53 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $510 +$185 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $98 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $501 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $581 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $580 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $580 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $580 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $580 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $581 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $321 −$321 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $301 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $300 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$239
politics 5% +$162
world 2% −$510
other 1% −$72
sports 0% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $700 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $703 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $701 12m
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 10¢ $103 33m
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 9¢ $65 36m
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 9¢ $103 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 47m
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 7¢ $103 52m
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? SELL Yes 3¢ $86 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $701 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $700 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $701 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $205 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $701 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $701 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $702 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $701 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $701 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $701 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $701 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $702 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $701 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $700 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -3.5% -12.7% 83% 14% -9.0%
≤30d 105 -3.5% -12.7% 83% 14% -9.0%
≤90d 107 -5.3% -14.3% 81% 14% -10.4%
all 107 -5.3% -14.3% 81% 14% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 14% -10.4%
10% -22.5% 11% -19.0%
15% -30.0% 9% -26.8%
20% -36.8% 7% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $705.68 · official $634.97 · 307 history records