Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:01:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb879…aa96
weather · 146 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$87 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses69 / 73
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)142 / 146
History coverage103d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 4 History 142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$16
14 days+$23
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 62¢ 62¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 23? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Milwaukee Brewers 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 29? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Heat Heat 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19? No 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-19? No 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 26? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 29? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 22? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 25? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 24? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays San Francisco Giants 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 23? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 24? No 85¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 25? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Pistons 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$13 +250%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $5 −$1 -23%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $4 +$8 +181%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 29? May 29 $2 −$2 -83%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28? May 29 $2 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28? May 29 $3 +$2 +95%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28? May 29 $2 +$3 +143%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 28? May 29 $2 +$4 +177%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 29? May 28 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29? May 28 $3 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 29? May 28 $3 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 29? May 28 $3 −$3 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28? May 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 27? May 27 $3 $0 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27? May 27 $2 +$2 +109%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27? May 27 $3 +$5 +209%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 27? May 27 $2 −$1 -43%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 27? May 27 $3 −$1 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 27? May 27 $3 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 27? May 27 $3 −$1 -30%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 27? May 27 $3 −$2 -83%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 26? May 27 $2 +$2 +88%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 26? May 27 $5 +$1 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 26? May 26 $1 +$1 +128%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 26? May 26 $2 +$3 +162%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on May 26? May 26 $2 −$2 -85%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 25? May 26 $3 +$2 +95%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25? May 26 $10 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 25? May 25 $3 +$1 +56%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 25? May 25 $3 +$4 +162%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 26? May 25 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 26? May 25 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 25? May 25 $2 +$2 +84%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25? May 25 $2 −$2 -89%
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25? May 25 $3 −$2 -60%
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25? May 25 $3 −$1 -56%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 25? May 25 $2 −$1 -42%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 25? May 25 $2 −$1 -41%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 25? May 25 $2 −$1 -66%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 25? May 24 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 24? May 24 $20 +$8 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 24? May 24 $5 +$3 +66%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 24? May 24 $2 +$5 +221%
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24? May 24 $2 +$4 +176%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 24? May 24 $2 +$3 +126%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 24? May 24 $2 +$1 +49%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 24? May 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24? May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 59% −$132
sports 22% +$68
other 11% +$24
crypto 5% −$47
world 2% +$8
finance 1% −$6
culture 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 62¢ $7 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 21h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $5 21h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $6 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 42h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 4d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 21¢ $4 6d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 35¢ $8 12d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 13d
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 29? SELL Yes 7¢ $0 14d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 29? BUY Yes 56¢ $3 15d
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 29? BUY Yes 38¢ $2 15d
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29? BUY Yes 34¢ $3 15d
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 29? BUY Yes 31¢ $3 15d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 29? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 15d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 15d
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 15d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 16d
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 16d
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 16d
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 28? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 16d
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 28? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 16d
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 16d
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 27? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 16d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 16d
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 16d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27? SELL Yes 39¢ $0 16d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27? BUY Yes 39¢ $2 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +66.0% +50.2% 50% 50% +44.8%
≤30d 64 +11.2% +0.6% 50% 48% +4.2%
≤90d 106 -12.6% -20.9% 42% 41% -35.0%
all 142 +0.3% -9.3% 49% 46% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 46% -14.2%
10% -18.0% 44% -22.4%
15% -25.9% 39% -29.9%
20% -33.2% 35% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30.24 · official $30.24 (match) · 329 history records