Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:04:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb877…4601
sports · 146 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$111 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$841 · open −$797
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,929
Realized+$841
Unrealized−$797
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses63 / 66
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$644
Open positions17
Markets (closed)129 / 146
History coverage6d
Avg bet$342
Trades / day527.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 17 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$751
7 days+$841
14 days+$841
30 days+$841
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 67¢ 100¢ $249 $375 +$125 (+50%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 70¢ 100¢ $187 $266 +$79 (+42%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 50¢ 100¢ $118 $238 +$120 (+102%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOS 70¢ 100¢ $140 $199 +$59 (+42%)
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Galions 76¢ 100¢ $95 $125 +$30 (+32%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Team Heretics Academy 67¢ 100¢ $83 $124 +$41 (+49%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 88¢ 90¢ $91 $93 +$2 (+2%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Ilbirs eSports 24¢ 18¢ $118 $87 −$31 (-26%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 27¢ 28¢ $78 $79 +$1 (+2%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner G2 NORD 63¢ 100¢ $45 $72 +$27 (+59%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner UCAM Esports Club 78¢ 86¢ $59 $64 +$5 (+9%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Solary 81¢ 100¢ $45 $55 +$10 (+23%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner UCAM Esports Club 53¢ 100¢ $26 $50 +$23 (+89%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Solary 82¢ 98¢ $41 $49 +$8 (+20%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 33¢ 34¢ $24 $25 +$1 (+5%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 17¢ 14¢ $25 $21 −$4 (-15%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 29¢ 0¢ $86 $1 −$85 (-98%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+26%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Eintracht Spandau 43¢ 0¢ $61 $1 −$60 (-99%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner G2 NORD 25¢ 2¢ $9 $1 −$9 (-94%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 76¢ 72¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-4%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Team Heretics Academy 45¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner LOS 50¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$145 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner UCAM Esports Club 32¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $72 +$6 +9%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $415 −$28 -7%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $150 −$25 -16%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $340 +$17 +5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2,177 +$248 +11%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $500 −$5 -1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $500 −$24 -5%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $158 −$8 -5%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $82 +$18 +21%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $466 −$23 -5%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $542 +$200 +37%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope Jun 13 $22 +$23 +105%
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Gior Dota Team (BO3) - The International South Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$10 -49%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $142 −$17 -12%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $210 +$45 +21%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $185 +$43 +23%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $232 +$22 +9%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$5 -41%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $796 +$70 +9%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $199 −$110 -55%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $232 +$19 +8%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $177 +$51 +29%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $103 +$186 +181%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $153 +$3 +2%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $35 −$34 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $507 +$78 +15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $123 −$15 -12%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $353 +$31 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $980 +$74 +8%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $500 −$31 -6%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $400 −$31 -8%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $406 +$48 +12%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $768 +$49 +6%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $88 −$13 -14%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $128 +$4 +3%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $1,153 −$427 -37%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $749 +$109 +14%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $269 −$91 -34%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $73 −$23 -32%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $118 +$29 +24%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $283 −$42 -15%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $174 +$44 +25%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $221 −$4 -2%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $55 +$5 +9%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $279 −$54 -20%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $68 −$18 -26%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $1,183 +$440 +37%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $124 +$1 +1%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $271 +$13 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 27¢ $95 4m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 6¢ $2 9m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 9¢ $2 9m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 11¢ $3 11m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 84¢ $21 13m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 85¢ $21 14m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY UCAM Esports Club 88¢ $125 15m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 19¢ $5 15m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 28¢ $7 20m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 66¢ $16 21m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 28¢ $7 21m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 87¢ $19 23m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 87¢ $2 23m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 3¢ $1 26m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY UCAM Esports Club 69¢ $12 27m
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY UCAM Esports Club 63¢ $159 27m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 25¢ $14 28m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY G2 NORD 15¢ $2 29m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 82¢ $25 31m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 82¢ $9 31m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 10¢ $2 31m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 81¢ $24 31m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 81¢ $79 32m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 8¢ $2 32m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 80¢ $8 32m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 80¢ $8 32m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 24¢ $63 35m
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 24¢ $143 36m
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOS 90¢ $22 36m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 22¢ $8 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 +9.4% -1.0% 49% 29% -7.6%
≤30d 129 +9.4% -1.0% 49% 29% -7.6%
≤90d 129 +9.4% -1.0% 49% 29% -7.6%
all 129 +9.4% -1.0% 49% 29% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover527.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.0% 29% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -10.5% 16% -16.5%
15% -19.1% 12% -24.5%
20% -27.0% 8% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,928.64 · official $1,926.87 (match) · 3500 history records