Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:44:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb872…465a
crypto · 82 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses43 / 35
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)78 / 82
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day141.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 4 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 68¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 47¢ 54¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$5 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$26
other 4% +$12
sports 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -5.6% -14.6% 55% 38% -13.3%
≤30d 78 -5.6% -14.6% 55% 38% -13.3%
≤90d 78 -5.6% -14.6% 55% 38% -13.3%
all 78 -5.6% -14.6% 55% 38% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover141.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 38% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 35% -21.6%
15% -30.2% 27% -29.2%
20% -37.1% 22% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.16 · official $14.07 (match) · 299 history records