Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:59:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb86d…3c53
sports · 601 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,823 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,492 · open −$298
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$913
Realized−$1,492
Unrealized−$298
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses234 / 358
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$563
Open positions9
Markets (closed)592 / 601
History coverage125d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day16.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 9 History 592 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$59
7 days−$1,370
14 days+$6,833
30 days+$7,207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 22¢ 18¢ $886 $753 −$133 (-15%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 22¢ 12¢ $68 $38 −$30 (-44%)
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $38 $36 −$2 (-5%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+0%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $15 +$5 (+50%)
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $104 $15 −$89 (-86%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 5¢ 0¢ $49 $1 −$48 (-99%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 27¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins 22¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 33¢ 0¢ $488 $0 −$488 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 23¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets St. Louis Cardinals 24¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $162 +$900 +554%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$116 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$41 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$12 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +17%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $102 −$101 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$49 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $64 −$63 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $165 +$250 +151%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $495 −$488 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $132 −$20 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$30 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -95%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $116 +$184 +158%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $102 +$121 +119%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $168 −$164 -98%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $135 −$134 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $123 −$120 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $72 −$72 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $80 −$80 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 11 $116 −$116 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $238 +$357 +150%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $54 +$46 +86%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $51 +$60 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $34 +$15 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$4 +180%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $50 −$48 -96%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $98 +$190 +194%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $52 −$52 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $123 −$123 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $27 −$25 -94%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $81 −$81 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $177 −$177 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $88 −$88 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 10 $68 −$68 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $79 −$79 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 10 $126 −$92 -73%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $60 +$58 +96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% −$8,982
crypto 11% −$473
other 7% −$1,070
politics 1% +$8,402
world 1% +$332
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 15¢ $26 13m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 27¢ $14 14m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 34¢ $31 17m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 3¢ $9 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 7¢ $21 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 4¢ $21 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $893 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 85¢ $169 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 6¢ $36 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 5¢ $1 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 8¢ $24 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 45¢ $51 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $51 2h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 5¢ $15 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $217 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $72 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $16 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $31 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $28 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $16 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $18 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $16 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $101 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $102 13h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $9 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $41 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $13 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 29¢ $51 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 92¢ $414 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -14.5% -22.6% 34% 34% -24.5%
≤30d 102 +22.3% +10.7% 37% 37% +54.9%
≤90d 499 -19.8% -27.4% 33% 32% -29.0%
all 592 -6.8% -15.7% 40% 38% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.7% 38% -11.4%
10% -23.7% 36% -19.9%
15% -31.1% 34% -27.6%
20% -37.9% 30% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $913.39 · official $913.39 (match) · 3500 history records