trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +9.0% | -1.4% | 33% | 33% | -7.1% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 33% | 13% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 33% | 13% | -9.4% |
| all | 24 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 42% | 12% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 12% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 8% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 8% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 4% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $42 | $42 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 20 | $11 | +$4 | +38% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $4 | +$1 | +17% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $39 | −$3 | -8% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $81 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 09 | $23 | −$1 | -4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 08 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Jun 08 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will a #1 seed lose in the first round of NCAA Tournament? | Mar 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? | Mar 21 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Mar 19 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days | Mar 19 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Payton Pritchard win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year? | Feb 23 | $3 | $0 | +8% |
| Campbell vs. North Carolina A&T | Feb 22 | $7 | +$7 | +100% |