trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 19 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | May 29 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 26 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 18 | $93 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 13 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 09 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 04 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 17 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 14 | $94 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 11 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 07 | $189 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 30 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 22 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 14 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 07 | $95 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 04 | $95 | $0 | -0% |