Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:11:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb84c…4e3c
crypto · 1603 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$25 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1550 / 52
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1602 / 1603
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day87.1
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 1602 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$47
14 days+$0
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$26
other 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 477 -2.1% -11.5% 95% 0% -12.6%
≤30d 1602 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 1% -9.2%
≤90d 1602 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 1% -9.2%
all 1602 -0.2% -9.7% 97% 1% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 1% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -17.9%
15% -26.2% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records