trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 23 | -75.6% | -77.9% | 13% | 13% | -53.2% |
| all | 23 | -75.6% | -77.9% | 13% | 13% | -53.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -77.9% | 13% | -53.2% |
| 10% | -80.0% | 9% | -57.7% |
| 15% | -81.9% | 9% | -61.8% |
| 20% | -83.7% | 4% | -65.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $7 | $5 | −$2 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Apr 09 | $1 | $0 | +47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | Apr 09 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | Apr 09 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 7? | Apr 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 7? | Apr 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 7? | Apr 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 7? | Apr 08 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7? | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 7? | Apr 06 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7? | Apr 06 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Apr 05 | $3 | −$3 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Apr 05 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Apr 05 | $6 | −$6 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Apr 05 | $5 | −$5 | -93% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Apr 04 | $10 | +$20 | +197% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Apr 04 | $10 | −$9 | -93% |