Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:59:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb83b…dc66
sports · 254 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$417 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$450 · open +$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$589
Realized−$450
Unrealized+$27
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses101 / 138
Est. fees paid−$145
Open positions13
Markets (closed)239 / 254
History coverage42d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 13 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$269
7 days+$221
14 days+$94
30 days−$133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $214 $218 +$4 (+2%)
Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 34¢ 76¢ $30 $68 +$38 (+127%)
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $67 $60 −$7 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 69¢ 64¢ $56 $52 −$4 (-6%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 18¢ 19¢ $50 $52 +$2 (+3%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $37 $27 −$10 (-27%)
Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Yes 35¢ 41¢ $20 $24 +$4 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 30¢ 55¢ $12 $22 +$10 (+82%)
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $21 $16 −$5 (-24%)
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-14%)
Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-13%)
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Sweden 68¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Sinners 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Yes 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals Yes 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5 Yes 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will a player finish a BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 play-offs map with over 40 kills? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $26 +$30 +114%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $67 +$49 +73%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $71 −$48 -68%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 +$8 +28%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $76 −$75 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $51 +$95 +186%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $25 +$12 +46%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $69 −$36 -52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$24 +119%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 +$25 +50%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $26 −$26 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $28 +$18 +65%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $22 +$16 +73%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $51 +$83 +165%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $44 +$21 +47%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $47 +$37 +80%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $56 +$28 +51%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $91 +$29 +32%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $33 −$32 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $40 +$20 +48%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $25 +$48 +189%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $25 +$19 +73%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $65 +$19 +29%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $71 −$70 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $55 +$45 +83%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $33 −$32 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 09 $59 +$79 +134%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $48 +$17 +34%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $33 −$32 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $52 +$23 +43%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $54 −$53 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $131 +$121 +92%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $20 −$12 -57%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 07 $37 −$36 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $113 +$27 +24%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $51 +$41 +80%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Jun 07 $50 +$23 +46%
Will GamerLegion qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs? Jun 07 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $50 +$24 +48%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $41 −$40 -98%
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 07 $35 −$34 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 +$9 +43%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $36 +$61 +172%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $21 −$21 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$379
other 14% −$658
crypto 4% −$189
finance 0% +$10
world 0% +$34
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $6 4m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $50 1h
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $22 12h
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 12h
Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 12h
Will Bruno Fernandes win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 7¢ $15 12h
Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals BUY Yes 7¢ $9 12h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals BUY Yes 28¢ $10 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $26 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $116 13h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 48¢ $30 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 20¢ $12 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 50¢ $30 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 56¢ $32 14h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 17¢ $10 15h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $28 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $67 15h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 33¢ $26 16h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 14¢ $10 16h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $51 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $79 16h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $30 17h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on BUY 6¢ $21 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 82¢ $67 17h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Natus Vincere 96¢ $37 17h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $25 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $51 19h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 52¢ $32 19h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 96¢ $45 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -9.1% -17.8% 51% 51% -2.4%
≤30d 174 -13.1% -21.4% 47% 47% -9.7%
≤90d 239 -18.6% -26.4% 42% 42% -12.7%
all 239 -18.6% -26.4% 42% 42% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.4% 42% -12.7%
10% -33.4% 40% -21.1%
15% -39.9% 32% -28.7%
20% -45.8% 24% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $589.09 · official $589.09 (match) · 433 history records