Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:52:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb834…2266 sports 591 markets active 6d ago coverage 69d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$732 (-0%) realized −$732 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%574W / 17L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$279per market
Trades / day24.8pace
Fees−$89est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$43
14 days−$646
30 days−$506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$773
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +0.1% -9.4% 97% 0% -10.4%
≤30d 392 +1.5% -8.2% 98% 0% -11.0%
≤90d 591 +1.0% -8.6% 97% 0% -9.9%
all 591 +1.0% -8.6% 97% 0% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 0% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 0% -18.6%
15% -25.3% 0% -26.4%
20% -32.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$163 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

69d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$732
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses574 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$89
Open positions0
Markets (closed)591 / 591
History coverage69d
Avg bet$279
Trades / day24.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 591 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Decatur: Kylie Collins vs Malaika Rapolu Jun 12 $81 +$3 +3%
ITF Kayseri: Adhithya Ganesan vs Kerem Yilmaz Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Tahlia Kokkinis Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Imanol Lopez Morillo vs Patrik Homola Jun 11 $91 +$9 +10%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Eugenia Zozaya Menendez vs Mariana Isabel Higu Jun 11 $0 $0 +4%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Laetitia Sarrazin Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
Ilkley (Doubles): Bayldon/Schoolkate vs Bass/Duncan Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
ITF Nice: Emira Diabate vs Jenny Lim Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Merzig: Luna Maria Cinalli vs Valentina Steiner Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
Ilkley (Doubles): Harrison/Osborne vs Kuwata/Sawangkaew Jun 11 $6 $0 +5%
ITF San Gregorio: Miriana Tona vs Dunja Maric Jun 11 $32 +$1 +3%
ITF Brasilia: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Felipe Vazquez Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Monastir: Meriem Ben Ezzedine vs Chiara Fornasieri Jun 11 $95 +$4 +5%
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Zeynep Ilker Jun 11 $96 +$4 +4%
Libema Open (Doubles): Loof/Veldheer vs Arends/Pel Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Monastir: Justine Bretnacher vs Aspen Schuman Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Casablanca: Warda Ait El Bachir vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 11 $58 +$2 +3%
ITF Varnamo: Jonathan Mridha vs Aristotelis Thanos Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Madrid: Ruth Roura Llaverias vs Cayetana Gay Jun 11 $93 +$7 +8%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $34 +$1 +3%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Corentin Denolly vs Patrik Meszaros Jun 11 $95 −$95 -100%
Lyon (Doubles): Ruehl/Wehnelt vs Malige/Malige Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Sofia Rocchetti Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lisa Peer Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF San Gregorio: Camilla Gennaro vs Anastasia Abbagnato Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Radek Chodora vs Marvin Moeller Jun 11 $24 +$1 +3%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Ayline Samardzic Jun 11 $31 +$1 +3%
ITF Kayseri: Semra Aksu vs Ann Akasha Ceuca Jun 11 $94 −$94 -100%
ITF Kayseri: Rafael De Alba vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 11 $95 +$5 +6%
ITF Vaasa: Jules Leroux vs Leonardo Rossi Jun 11 $17 +$1 +6%
ITF Maanshan: Thanapet Chanta vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Maanshan: Uisung Park vs Stefan Storch Jun 11 $94 +$6 +6%
ITF Maanshan: Kasidit Samrej vs Pawit Sornlaksup Jun 11 $49 +$1 +3%
ITF Maanshan: Joshua Charlton vs Matthew Dellavedova Jun 11 $28 +$1 +4%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Nanari Katsumi Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Riku Takahata Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Decatur: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Sena Yoon Jun 10 $49 +$1 +3%
ITF Vaasa: Jeri Lassila vs Linus Lagerbohm Jun 10 $16 $0 +3%
Ilkley (Doubles): Ho/Noguchi vs Maestrelli/Romano Jun 10 $97 +$3 +3%
Ilkley (Doubles): Gray/Samuel vs Reynolds/Watt Jun 10 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Brasilia: Enzo Kohlmann de Freitas vs Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha Jun 10 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Heorhii Shylov vs Richard Antoni Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $93 +$3 +3%
ITF Varnamo: Niels Mcdonald vs Cruz Hewitt Jun 10 $14 $0 +3%
ITF Brasilia: Rafael Tosetto vs Luiz Gustavo Felisberto Jun 10 $97 +$3 +3%
ITF Decatur: Carolina Gomez vs Dasha Ivanova Jun 10 $32 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Laetitia Sarrazin SELL Eva Bennemann 100¢ $100 5d
Ilkley (Doubles): Bayldon/Schoolkate vs Bass/Duncan SELL Bass/Duncan 100¢ $8 5d
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 97¢ $97 5d
ITF Nice: Emira Diabate vs Jenny Lim SELL Jenny Lim 100¢ $100 5d
Ilkley (Doubles): Bayldon/Schoolkate vs Bass/Duncan BUY Bass/Duncan 97¢ $7 5d
Ilkley (Doubles): Bayldon/Schoolkate vs Bass/Duncan BUY Bass/Duncan 97¢ $1 5d
ITF Martos: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Maxi Carrascosa Diaz BUY Alberto Barroso Campos 97¢ $97 5d
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios SELL Sho Shimabukuro 100¢ $100 5d
ITF Merzig: Luna Maria Cinalli vs Valentina Steiner SELL Valentina Steiner 100¢ $100 5d
Ilkley (Doubles): Harrison/Osborne vs Kuwata/Sawangkaew SELL Harrison/Osborne 100¢ $6 5d
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 97¢ $97 5d
Ilkley (Doubles): Harrison/Osborne vs Kuwata/Sawangkaew BUY Harrison/Osborne 97¢ $5 5d
Ilkley (Doubles): Harrison/Osborne vs Kuwata/Sawangkaew BUY Harrison/Osborne 87¢ $1 5d
ITF Merzig: Luna Maria Cinalli vs Valentina Steiner BUY Valentina Steiner 97¢ $97 5d
ITF San Gregorio: Miriana Tona vs Dunja Maric SELL Dunja Maric 100¢ $33 5d
ITF Brasilia: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Felipe Vazquez SELL Juan Sebastian Osorio 100¢ $100 5d
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Laetitia Sarrazin BUY Eva Bennemann 97¢ $97 5d
ITF San Gregorio: Miriana Tona vs Dunja Maric BUY Dunja Maric 97¢ $32 5d
ITF Brasilia: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Felipe Vazquez BUY Juan Sebastian Osorio 97¢ $97 5d
ITF Nice: Emira Diabate vs Jenny Lim BUY Jenny Lim 97¢ $7 5d
ITF Nice: Emira Diabate vs Jenny Lim BUY Jenny Lim 97¢ $90 5d
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Tahlia Kokkinis BUY Nadia Podoroska 97¢ $97 5d
ITF Monastir: Meriem Ben Ezzedine vs Chiara Fornasieri SELL Chiara Fornasieri 100¢ $100 5d
ITF Kayseri: Julia Adams vs Zeynep Ilker SELL Julia Adams 100¢ $100 6d
ITF Monastir: Meriem Ben Ezzedine vs Chiara Fornasieri BUY Chiara Fornasieri 95¢ $95 6d
Libema Open (Doubles): Loof/Veldheer vs Arends/Pel SELL Arends/Pel 100¢ $100 6d
ITF Monastir: Justine Bretnacher vs Aspen Schuman SELL Aspen Schuman 100¢ $100 6d
ITF Monastir: Justine Bretnacher vs Aspen Schuman BUY Aspen Schuman 97¢ $17 6d
ITF Monastir: Justine Bretnacher vs Aspen Schuman BUY Aspen Schuman 97¢ $38 6d
ITF Monastir: Justine Bretnacher vs Aspen Schuman BUY Aspen Schuman 97¢ $42 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1814 history records