Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:47:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb829…9b19
crypto · 1654 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$23 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses1065 / 589
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1654 / 1654
History coverage54d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day32.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1654 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$227
14 days−$256
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$7 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$11 +1074%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$7 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$41
sports 0% +$65
world 0% $0
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 545 -11.4% -19.8% 58% 41% -16.4%
≤30d 1615 -0.3% -9.8% 65% 49% -9.8%
≤90d 1654 -0.5% -9.9% 64% 49% -9.2%
all 1654 -0.5% -9.9% 64% 49% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 49% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 37% -17.9%
15% -26.4% 31% -25.9%
20% -33.6% 25% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records