Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:41:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B8 0xb827…f52c sports 67 markets active 5d ago coverage 17d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$9 (-4%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate52%35W / 32L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day5.8pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$8
14 days−$3
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -30.2% -36.8% 33% 33% -80.8%
≤30d 67 -8.8% -17.5% 52% 51% -14.4%
≤90d 67 -8.8% -17.5% 52% 51% -14.4%
all 67 -8.8% -17.5% 52% 51% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.5% 51% -14.4%
10% -25.4% 43% -22.6%
15% -32.6% 36% -30.1%
20% -39.2% 22% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses35 / 32
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage17d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 67 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $2 +$1 +55%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $6 −$6 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $27 +$6 +24%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $12 +$5 +43%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $3 −$1 -38%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $2 $0 +16%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $1 +$2 +188%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $4 −$4 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry Jun 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $3 −$2 -65%
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev May 31 $10 +$1 +12%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev May 31 $3 −$1 -33%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 31 $2 +$4 +183%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic May 31 $4 +$3 +83%
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wang May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek May 31 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima May 31 $3 +$1 +40%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe May 31 $2 +$4 +180%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo May 30 $2 +$1 +70%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $2 +$1 +52%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osorio May 30 $2 +$2 +86%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys May 30 $2 −$2 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova May 30 $10 −$10 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Kasatkina May 30 $2 $0 +16%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykova May 30 $2 +$2 +93%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova May 30 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $2 −$2 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencic May 29 $5 $0 +7%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $1 +$4 +344%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul May 29 $2 −$2 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova May 29 $4 +$2 +58%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkova May 29 $2 +$1 +29%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 29 $2 +$1 +42%
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev May 29 $2 +$1 +40%
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva May 29 $2 $0 +17%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 29 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Kimberly Birrell May 29 $2 +$1 +40%
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osaka May 29 $2 +$1 +44%
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegula May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 47¢ $1 4d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Martin Landaluce 69¢ $2 6d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Martin Landaluce 82¢ $2 6d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Martin Landaluce 74¢ $2 6d
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Martin Landaluce 31¢ $1 6d
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 54¢ $2 6d
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet BUY Corentin Moutet 43¢ $2 7d
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet BUY Corentin Moutet 61¢ $2 7d
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet BUY Corentin Moutet 67¢ $2 7d
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 64¢ $2 8d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 70¢ $5 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 91¢ $10 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 74¢ $5 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 82¢ $5 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 75¢ $2 10d
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska BUY Diana Shnaider 32¢ $2 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Arnaldi 99¢ $2 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Arnaldi 91¢ $2 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Arnaldi 74¢ $2 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Arnaldi 72¢ $2 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Arnaldi 52¢ $2 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Matteo Arnaldi 53¢ $2 13d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Joao Fonseca 48¢ $1 14d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca SELL Jakub Mensik 32¢ $2 14d
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca BUY Jakub Mensik 33¢ $2 15d
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi BUY Frances Tiafoe 49¢ $2 15d
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider BUY Madison Keys 30¢ $2 16d
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider BUY Madison Keys 63¢ $2 16d
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka BUY Naomi Osaka 20¢ $1 16d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry BUY Diane Parry 37¢ $1 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 146 history records