Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:23:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb821…5cdd
sports · 900 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,187 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,146 · open −$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$374
Realized−$1,146
Unrealized−$41
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses568 / 326
Est. fees paid−$153
Open positions6
Markets (closed)894 / 900
History coverage225d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 6 History 894 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$119
7 days+$135
14 days−$75
30 days−$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 57¢ 58¢ $238 $244 +$6 (+3%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 79¢ 75¢ $46 $43 −$2 (-5%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 71¢ 90¢ $29 $37 +$8 (+27%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 78¢ 74¢ $37 $35 −$2 (-5%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Felix Balshaw 58¢ 55¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-6%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Dino Prizmic 84¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$50 (-99%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 82¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? No 77¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will St Mirren FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw? No 74¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 68¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Casper Ruud 74¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame Adolfo Vallejo 73¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Karen Khachanov 72¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils Gael Monfils 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Taylor Fritz 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 56¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Auger-Aliassime (+1.5) Auger-Aliassime 64¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? No 74¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 80¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Hubert Hurkacz 56¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? No 79¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw? No 78¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Felix Auger-Aliassime 88¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria Magda Linette 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $16 +$11 +70%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $29 +$11 +38%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $77 +$11 +14%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $34 +$12 +36%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $1,042 +$413 +40%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $347 −$344 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $49 +$24 +49%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $15 +$12 +83%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $41 −$8 -18%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $22 +$11 +50%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $79 −$78 -99%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $36 +$9 +24%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $89 +$39 +44%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $22 +$11 +52%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $44 −$44 -99%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $25 −$25 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $24 −$24 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $25 +$9 +34%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $151 +$26 +17%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $94 +$23 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $22 +$11 +50%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $16 +$12 +76%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $31 +$23 +75%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 10 $24 −$23 -99%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 10 $17 −$16 -99%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $32 +$8 +24%
Australia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $16 +$12 +73%
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 06 $44 +$11 +26%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $15 +$12 +79%
United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $23 +$12 +50%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $16 +$12 +76%
Australia vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $18 −$18 -99%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $26 +$9 +32%
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $32 +$8 +26%
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $22 −$22 -99%
Will Belgium vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 06 $42 +$8 +20%
Portugal vs. Chile: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $16 −$16 -99%
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $18 −$18 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 06 $18 −$5 -29%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $45 −$45 -100%
Myanmar vs. Guam: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $19 −$19 -99%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $17 +$13 +76%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $20 +$12 +57%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $60 +$17 +29%
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverev Jun 05 $24 +$13 +52%
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Jun 05 $28 +$8 +29%
Singapore vs. China PR: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $19 +$8 +42%
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $16 −$15 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$807
other 9% −$393
world 0% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 71¢ $29 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 58¢ $16 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 58¢ $16 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 84¢ $51 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 72¢ $29 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 78¢ $37 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 79¢ $46 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin BUY Mattia Bellucci 87¢ $77 2h
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 73¢ $34 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 57¢ $241 19h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $935 19h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $108 22h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $116 22h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $116 22h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $116 22h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 59¢ $1 23h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $25 25h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 56¢ $15 25h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 66¢ $24 25h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $15 25h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 66¢ $23 26h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 65¢ $22 26h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 69¢ $29 26h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 70¢ $26 26h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 61¢ $19 26h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 66¢ $22 27h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 80¢ $36 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $89 46h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 65¢ $22 47h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 81¢ $44 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +1.2% -8.4% 68% 68% -4.9%
≤30d 221 -5.6% -14.6% 64% 64% -11.1%
≤90d 620 -9.0% -17.7% 62% 62% -19.7%
all 894 -1.6% -10.9% 64% 63% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 63% -12.9%
10% -19.5% 60% -21.3%
15% -27.2% 46% -28.9%
20% -34.4% 29% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $374.46 · official $374.46 (match) · 1848 history records