Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:29:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B8
0xb813…9468
sports · 38 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$68 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$88 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized+$88
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses28 / 7
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions3
Markets (closed)35 / 38
History coverage84d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$36
14 days+$77
30 days+$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs XLG Gaming 32¢ 100¢ $10 $32 +$22 (+217%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 48¢ 24¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-51%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner G2 Esports 72¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Bilibili Gaming 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $10 +$11 +105%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +39%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $7 +$12 +169%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $2 +$2 +114%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $12 −$5 -43%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $41 +$2 +5%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $5 +$1 +27%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$5 +46%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$5 +52%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $12 +$6 +50%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $10 +$7 +72%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $12 +$5 +42%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$6 +55%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $15 +$2 +14%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $10 $0 -3%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $32 −$32 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 07 $27 +$5 +20%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $20 +$7 +34%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $14 +$6 +46%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $9 +$4 +48%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $10 −$1 -8%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $21 +$10 +46%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $26 +$6 +24%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $10 +$3 +32%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $17 +$5 +28%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 22 $29 +$11 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$62
other 8% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 15¢ $1 55m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 14¢ $2 56m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 28¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 43¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 31¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 31¢ $2 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 31¢ $5 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 51¢ $2 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 79¢ $10 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 73¢ $10 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 75¢ $10 9h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 63¢ $5 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 94¢ $7 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $5 11h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $5 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $5 12h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 57¢ $5 33h
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? SELL Yes 63¢ $10 2d
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 48¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY XLG Gaming 41¢ $2 3d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 46¢ $2 3d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 48¢ $5 3d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY XLG Gaming 35¢ $5 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Warriors 90¢ $3 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C SELL Saigon Dino 8¢ $3 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Dino 20¢ $8 3d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Dino 47¢ $41 3d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 4d
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? BUY Yes 62¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +74%
net ROI/market (all)+12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +21.9% +10.3% 77% 69% +1.5%
≤30d 34 +24.2% +12.4% 79% 74% +7.0%
≤90d 35 +24.6% +12.7% 80% 74% +8.1%
all 35 +24.6% +12.7% 80% 74% +8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +12.7% 74% +8.1%
10% +1.9% 69% -2.2%
15% -7.9% 49% -11.6%
20% -16.9% 20% -20.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.60 · official $36.60 (match) · 94 history records