Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T02:17:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B8 0xb812…076e crypto 1710 markets active 0h ago coverage 47d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 47d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$5,416 (-36%) realized −$5,416 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate76%1298W / 419L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day44.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$573
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 209 -4.2% -13.3% 66% 28% -11.1%
≤30d 552 -8.9% -17.6% 59% 39% -16.9%
≤90d 1717 -3.7% -12.9% 76% 37% -13.2%
all 1717 -3.7% -12.9% 76% 37% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 37% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 22% -21.5%
15% -28.8% 13% -29.1%
20% -35.8% 9% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$8 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,416
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses1298 / 419
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1717 / 1710
History coverage47d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day44.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1717 Trades
no open positions (115 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$10 -200%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$3 -26%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$2 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$3 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$2 -18%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$3 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$2 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -41%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $11 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $12 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $12 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $12 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $11 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $13 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $12 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $11 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $8 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $11 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $8 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $12 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records