Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:40:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
B7 0xb7fb…aaac crypto 2217 markets active 4h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (278 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL −$4,426 (-83%) realized −$4,426 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +58% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +21% what you keep after slip
Net edge+21%after slip
Net WR63%break-even
Win rate63%838W / 497L
Drawdown86%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day278.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,736
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (278 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+42.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1038 +42.2% +28.6% 56% 56% -19.8%
≤30d 1335 +57.7% +42.6% 63% 63% -2.2%
≤90d 1335 +57.7% +42.6% 63% 63% -2.2%
all 1335 +57.7% +42.6% 63% 63% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover278.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +42.6% 63% -2.2%
10% ← realistic here +29.0% 63% -11.5%
15% +16.5% 63% -20.1%
20% +5.1% 63% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 0% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +58% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +113% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,426
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses838 / 497
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1335 / 2217
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day278.3
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1335 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records