Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:20:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7fb…3871
crypto · 33 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$326 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$281 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$281
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses18 / 15
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)33 / 33
History coverage1d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day95.0
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$281
7 days+$281
14 days+$281
30 days+$281
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$33 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$37 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$17 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$17 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$9 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $231 +$19 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$16 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$21 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$29 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $285 +$45 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$23 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$16 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$25 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $106 −$5 -5%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $50 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$77 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$22 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $109 +$101 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$35 -85%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -94%
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switz Jun 14 $47 +$9 +18%
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzer Jun 14 $31 +$16 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$262
other 4% +$25
sports 3% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $59 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $119 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $107 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +2.1% -7.6% 55% 45% +7.2%
≤30d 33 +2.1% -7.6% 55% 45% +7.2%
≤90d 33 +2.1% -7.6% 55% 45% +7.2%
all 33 +2.1% -7.6% 55% 45% +7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 45% +7.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 33% -3.1%
15% -24.5% 33% -12.4%
20% -31.9% 33% -21.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 100 history records