Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7f5…c669
sports · 204 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$13,857 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,943 · open −$1,087
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$36,072
Realized+$14,943
Unrealized−$1,087
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses99 / 93
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$11,121
Open positions15
Markets (closed)192 / 204
Avg bet$3,714
Trades / day324.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 15 History 192 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31,620
7 days−$564
14 days+$14,943
30 days+$14,943
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 86¢ $6,766 $6,727 −$39 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 46¢ 48¢ $5,750 $5,937 +$187 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 39¢ 38¢ $5,915 $5,625 −$290 (-5%)
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 78¢ $4,388 $4,361 −$28 (-1%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 62¢ $3,666 $3,472 −$194 (-5%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 63¢ 60¢ $3,500 $3,361 −$139 (-4%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $3,000 $2,972 −$28 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 33¢ 38¢ $1,828 $2,132 +$305 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 42¢ 44¢ $628 $665 +$37 (+6%)
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $1,480 $660 −$820 (-55%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Team Falcons 38¢ 38¢ $103 $104 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 2¢ 7¢ $5 $17 +$12 (+224%)
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $75 $16 −$58 (-78%)
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+0%)
Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $39 $6 −$33 (-85%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $145 −$145 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2,444 −$2,444 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $3,111 −$3,111 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $2,764 −$2,764 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $3,661 −$3,661 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $3,811 −$3,811 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2,955 −$2,955 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 12 $3,801 −$3,801 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $5,272 −$5,272 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5,402 −$5,402 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $6,074 −$6,074 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5,936 −$5,936 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $839 −$839 -100%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $6,521 −$6,521 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5,107 +$3,893 +76%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $7,332 +$7,668 +105%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4,927 −$4,927 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5) Jun 11 $5,000 +$5,000 +100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $3,966 −$3,966 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 11 $573 +$406 +71%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $4,044 +$3,733 +92%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3,655 +$4,122 +113%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $3,889 +$3,888 +100%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 11 $4,800 +$5,200 +108%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $3,888 −$3,888 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $5,400 +$4,600 +85%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 11 $292 +$175 +60%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $872 −$872 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3,836 −$3,836 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3,422 −$3,422 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $44 +$37 +83%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $3,055 +$2,500 +82%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $3,933 +$3,973 +101%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5 Jun 11 $5,200 +$4,800 +92%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $3,344 −$3,344 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $4,355 +$4,533 +104%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $263 −$263 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $3,765 −$3,765 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $536 +$358 +67%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $5,299 +$5,811 +110%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $8,008 +$3,103 +39%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 10 $32 −$32 -100%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 10 $48 −$48 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 10 $1,617 −$1,617 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5 Jun 10 $4,600 −$4,600 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $4,051 −$4,051 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $6,417 −$6,417 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $25 +$29 +117%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $382 +$414 +108%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$18,334
other 4% −$9,639
crypto 1% +$5,162
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $18 0m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $6 4m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $30 9m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $3 39m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $6 2h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $363 2h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $2 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $3 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $7 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $3 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $157 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $2 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $3 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $3 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $9 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $2 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $197 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $2 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $2 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $6 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $12 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $3 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $2 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $3 3h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $265 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 +0.1% -9.4% 52% 50% -9.6%
≤30d 192 +10.6% +0.1% 52% 51% -8.4%
≤90d 192 +10.6% +0.1% 52% 51% -8.4%
all 192 +10.6% +0.1% 52% 51% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover324.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.1% 51% -8.4%
10% -9.5% 49% -17.2%
15% ← realistic here -18.3% 48% -25.2%
20% -26.3% 47% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36,072.45 · official $36,072.45 (match) · 3500 history records