Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:52:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7f2…5616
other · 158 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses42 / 111
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions5
Markets (closed)153 / 158
History coverage170d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 5 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? Yes 93¢ 92¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 94¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 98¢ 97¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-0%)
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 94¢ 92¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? No 97¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election No 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $87 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $27 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $7 $0 +0%
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $12 $0 +0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $21 $0 +0%
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 10 $9 $0 +0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $15 $0 +0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 06 $72 $0 +0%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting? Jun 06 $18 $0 -0%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 05 $16 $0 +0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $60 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Jun 05 $18 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $19 $0 +0%
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 04 $20 $0 -0%
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? Jun 03 $22 $0 +0%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $21 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $23 $0 +0%
Centurion: Orel Kimhi vs Giles Hussey May 29 $20 +$1 +4%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? May 29 $16 $0 +0%
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $15 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston May 28 $20 $0 +0%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? May 28 $16 $0 +0%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro May 26 $16 $0 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda May 26 $17 $0 +1%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 26 $21 $0 -0%
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton May 25 $15 $0 +2%
Roland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul May 25 $15 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 19 $17 $0 +0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? May 18 $17 $0 +0%
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League? May 17 $18 $0 -0%
Starmer out by May 19, 2026? May 17 $23 $0 +0%
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 15 $38 $0 +0%
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 13 $19 $0 +0%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers May 13 $20 $0 +2%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin May 11 $21 $0 +0%
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 May 11 $24 $0 -0%
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? May 10 $36 $0 +0%
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 10 $50 $0 +0%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres May 10 $24 +$1 +3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 10 $31 $0 -0%
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial e May 09 $23 $0 +0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 08 $30 $0 +0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 07 $19 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 34% +$2
sports 20% +$3
politics 19% −$1
economics 10% $0
crypto 6% +$1
world 6% −$8
culture 3% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $9 1h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $9 1h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $7 1h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet BUY Yes 93¢ $10 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $9 2h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $9 2h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $7 10h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $7 12h
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? SELL No 93¢ $11 14h
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $9 17h
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 98¢ $9 18h
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $7 18h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $9 21h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 97¢ $9 21h
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? BUY No 93¢ $11 26h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $13 27h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $12 33h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $1 34h
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? BUY No 98¢ $8 35h
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 92¢ $5 42h
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 92¢ $3 42h
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 92¢ $8 43h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 92¢ $1 2d
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 92¢ $11 2d
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 92¢ $12 2d
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $8 2d
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 97¢ $10 2d
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $10 2d
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $7 2d
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 94¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -0.0% -9.5% 19% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 39 +0.2% -9.3% 26% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 108 -0.8% -10.3% 18% 0% -9.5%
all 153 -0.8% -10.2% 27% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.8% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.57 · official $32.14 (match) · 505 history records