Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T19:23:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
B7 0xb7f0…241e crypto 307 markets active 1h ago coverage 9d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$49 (+2%) realized +$49 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate98%302W / 5L
Drawdown56%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day34.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$17
14 days+$34
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$34
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 260 +1.1% -8.6% 98% 5% -8.9%
≤30d 307 +1.5% -8.2% 98% 5% -8.5%
≤90d 307 +1.5% -8.2% 98% 5% -8.5%
all 307 +1.5% -8.2% 98% 5% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 5% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 0% -17.3%
15% -25.0% 0% -25.3%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$10 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.68 per $1 lost it wins $1.68
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses302 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)307 / 307
History coverage9d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day34.7
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 307 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 22 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $10 +$1 +7%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 21h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 88¢ $5 34h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 89¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 616 history records