Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:49:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7ee…2c6b
crypto · 1517 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$248 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$247 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$247
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses535 / 981
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1516 / 1517
History coverage170d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1516 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$9
14 days−$147
30 days−$197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 32¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +173%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$260
politics 0% +$7
other 0% +$7
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -10.5% -19.0% 39% 38% -13.5%
≤30d 1101 -14.9% -23.0% 32% 31% -22.8%
≤90d 1488 -16.1% -24.1% 34% 32% -23.8%
all 1516 -12.5% -20.9% 35% 33% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 33% -20.0%
10% -28.4% 31% -27.7%
15% -35.3% 29% -34.7%
20% -41.7% 26% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.67 (match) · 3394 history records