Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:35:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B7
0xb7db…577c
crypto · 20 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -33%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses9 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)20 / 20
History coverage20d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$2
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 29 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31? May 25 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 25 $1 +$2 +218%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$8
other 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +0.9% -8.7% 78% 44% -17.2%
≤30d 20 -10.9% -19.4% 45% 30% -38.7%
≤90d 20 -10.9% -19.4% 45% 30% -38.7%
all 20 -10.9% -19.4% 45% 30% -38.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.4% 30% -38.7%
10% -27.1% 25% -44.6%
15% -34.1% 15% -49.9%
20% -40.6% 15% -54.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 41 history records