Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:31:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B7 0xb7cd…6827 crypto 426 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (86 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$10,461 (-0%) realized −$10,511 · open +$50
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate99%422W / 3L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$7,694per market
Trades / day85.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$99,028now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$34,259
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (86 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 352 -0.2% -9.7% 99% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 425 +9.5% -0.9% 99% 1% -8.6%
all 425 +9.5% -0.9% 99% 1% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover85.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.9% 1% -8.6%
10% -10.4% 1% -17.3%
15% ← realistic here -19.0% 1% -25.3%
20% -27.0% 1% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 53% · top 2 70% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$7,516) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +19% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$81 vs −$2 · ×33.89 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×4766.52 per $1 lost it wins $4766.52
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$99,028
Realized−$10,511
Unrealized+$50
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses422 / 3
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)425 / 426
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$7,694
Trades / day85.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 425 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $98,909 $98,959 +$50 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 16? Jun 17 $1,014 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16? Jun 17 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $32 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $140 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 16? Jun 16 $51 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $4,065 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $35 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $458 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $39,290 +$39 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? Jun 16 $9,865 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? Jun 16 $221 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16? Jun 16 $308 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? Jun 16 $3,850 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,864 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $2,793 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 15? Jun 15 $2,903 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,726 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $2,619 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $172 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $14,123 +$13 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $9,735 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 15? Jun 15 $1,321 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $12,910 +$13 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $334 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 15? Jun 15 $5,167 +$5 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $116 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? Jun 15 $40,779 +$42 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 14? Jun 15 $7,450 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 14? Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 14? Jun 14 $12,987 +$13 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 14? Jun 14 $2,797 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $29,970 +$30 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $9,764 +$10 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $43,727 +$44 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 14? Jun 14 $1,798 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $207 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 13? Jun 13 $20,080 +$20 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $870 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $64,455 +$65 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $289 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $444 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $59,940 +$60 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $29,970 +$30 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $22 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $22 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $683 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,030 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $59,169 +$57 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $4 34m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,109 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,339 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $6,527 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $7,974 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,016 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $7,974 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,016 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $7,974 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $9,990 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 100¢ $2,016 3h
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $15 4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $15 5h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $999 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $13 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $4 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $999 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99,028.04 · official $99,028.04 (match) · 3500 history records